Sunday, July 24, 2022

BRUNEI 汶莱 - 4 Days 3 Night - Seri Begawan, The Empire Hotel, Jame' Asr Hassanil Bolkiah Mosque

 


BRUNEI 4 Days 3 Night - Seri Begawan 汶莱 4天3夜 自由行 - 斯里巴加湾市 Places: - Jame' Asr Hassanil Bolkiah Mosque - Coffee by 7T1 - Seri Bagawan Floating Village - Sultan Omar Ali Saifuddin Mosque - Phongmun Restaurant - Roasted Sip Coffee - The Empire Hotel Brunei - High Frequency Cafe Partial video of Royal Brunei Boeing 787 is provided by Vecteezy.com

BRUNEI 汶莱 4 Days 3 Night - Seri Begawan, Sultan Haji Omar 'Ali Saifuddien Bridge, The Empire Hotel

BRUNEI 4 Days 3 Night - Seri Begawan 汶莱 4天3夜 自由行 - 斯里巴加湾市 Places: - Sultan Haji Omar 'Ali Saifuddien Bridge - Temburong District - Batang Duri Recreation Park - JAB GYM - Food Street @ The Mall - Istana Nurul Iman (Palace) - THE EMPIRE BRUNEI

Thursday, March 31, 2022

[INVESTMENT] MEMO – 31.03.2022

Hello, hello!

It’s the last day of March 2022.

PEACE TALK

There was some progress in the peace talk between Ukraine and Russia as Russia pleaded that it will "drastically reduce" military combat operations in Kyiv of Ukraine. Most of the western media still have some doubts over this positive progress and some believe this may be a "smokescreen" for the Russian forces to re-strategize in Ukraine.

YIELD CURVE INVERSION

Bloomberg on 28.03.2022 reported that the spread between five-year notes and 30-year bonds inverted for the first time since 2006 when five-year yields rose to 2.63%. Why is this pertinent?

The inverted curve has proven in the past few past major occasions to be relatively reliable lead indicator of a recession. Then,what is “inverted yield curve”?

Investopedia explains that “an inverted yield curve occurs when short-term debt instruments have higher yields than long-term instruments of the same credit risk profile”. It further explains that “an inverted yield curve is unusual; it reflects bond investors' expectations for a decline in longer-term interest rates, typically associated with recessions.”

It this a reference or sign of recession? I do not know.

On top of that, inflation is real even before the Ukraine Russia conflict. And we can feel the impact of inflation now. The cost is that our money is declining in true value over time.

MY INVESTMENT

Having said that, I am maintaining a long time-horizon buying dips in the assets and businesses that I want to hold for the next decade. 

Quoting Benjamin Graham, "In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run it is a weighing machine."

PORTFOLIO

These three (3) months have been a roller coaster riding. Current month for March 2022 our portfolio is up 4.19%. However the overall performance for this year is still down 5.18%. 

Stay safe.

MNMLH
31.03.2022






Thursday, March 17, 2022

[UNBOXING] ZZUOM Coffee Machine CM6826T - Office Cafe

 

[INVESTMENT] MEMO - 18.03.2022

Hello, Hello!

In times of this unstable market environment, we also obviously do not know how long the conflict between Russia and Ukraine will last. So I am taking a step back, making coffee, doing a lot of reading and thinking over the past weeks. 

I have read Morgan Housel’s new book THE PSYCHOLOGY OF MONEY and a few classic, LEARN TO EARN by Peter Lynch.

As my portfolio is partially exposed to China market in $BABA (Alibaba) $0700.HK (Tencent) and $03690.HK (Meituan Class B), my portfolio is still down this month. 

The only positive news I know for this week is that China government made a strong signal to stabilize financial market, promising to ease regulatory crackdown, support technology companies and stimulate the economy.

As for the past few weeks, I have added some position in  $TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd - ADR) . Apart from that, nothing much to update.

Happy weekend and stay safe.

MNMLH
18.03.2022



Sunday, February 27, 2022

[INVESTMENT] MEMO - 28.02.2022

Hello, Hello! It’s the last day of February for year 2022.

Thanks for reading my Memo.

WAR DESTROYS EVERYTHING

I born in the mid 80’s and fortunately I’m not born in the era of war. Even not born in the era of war, I personally can feel the physical and psychological tension and pain of war.

Last week, Russian President Vladimir Putin announced a special military operation in Ukraine’s eastern Donbas region. Short video clips showing troops and tanker in Ukraine were spreading like wild fire in social media. Civilians flee Kyiv. World leader of the West condemned this move and pressured to impose sanctions against Russia.

The west treated this move as an invasion of Ukraine. Price of Oil, Wheat and Gold surged and, without a doubt, stock market dropped substantially. Russia’s MOEX Stock index even dropped 45% after Putin ordered military action in Ukraine.

The physical and psychological terror of war are unimaginable. On economy aspect, the consequences are devastating. We all know that war destroys everything.

OPPOTUNITY OF CRISIS?

During time like this, I always like to seek some wisdom from books or  experienced investors. Lucky to me, there’s one classic book called COMMON STOCKS AND UNCOMMON PROFITS by Phillip Fisher, may provide some guidance to me. I particularly like what he said in this book, which I quote as follows:-

Do stocks actually become more valuable in war time, or is it just money which declines in value? That depends on circumstances. By the grace of God, our country has never been defeated in any war in which it has engaged. In war, particularly modern war, the money of the defeated side is likely to become completely or almost worthless, any common stocks would lose most of their value. Certainly, if the United States were to be defeated by Communist Russia, both our money and our stocks would become valueless. It would then make little difference what investors might have done. 

On the other hand, if a war is won or stalemated, what happens to the real value of stocks will vary with the individual war and the individual stock. In World War I, when the enormous prewar savings of England and France were pouring into this country, most stocks probably increased their real worth even more than might have been the case if the same years had been a period of peace. This, however, was a one-time condition that will not be repeated. Expressed in constant dollars – that is, in real value – American stocks in both World War II and the Korean period undoubtedly did fare less well than if the same period had been one of peace. Aside from the crushing taxes, there was too great a diversion of effort from the more profitable peace-time lines to abnormally narrow-margin defense work. If the magnificent research effort spent on these narrow-margin defense projects could have been channelled to normal peace-time lines, stockholders’ profits would have been far greater – assuming, of course, that there would still have been a free america in which any profits could have been enjoyed at all. The reason for buying stocks on war or fear of war is not that war, in itself, is ever again likely to be profitable to American stockholders. It is just that money becomes even less desirable, so that stock prices, which are expressed in units of money, always go up.

   (emphasis added)

MY MOVE

Last week, I have disposed off my stakes in  $ISRG (Intuitive Surgical Inc) (with slight gain) and  $2318.HK (Ping An Insurance) (with a loss) not because I think they are no longer fundamentally sound. The main reason of the disposal is I need more cash to increase my stakes in  $TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd - ADR) and  $GOOG (Alphabet).

The massive drop in the stock market due to the special military operation in Ukraine has caused some opportunity for me to increase my position in TSMC and ALPHABET (GOOGLE).

PERFORMANCE

As of today, this month our portfolio is down 5.37%.


Stay safe.

MNMLH

TAKE NOTICE that the above memo is by no means a recommendation or a solicitation or expression of views to influence you to buy or sell any stocks. The above memo is just my sharing on what I am doing with my portfolio and my thoughts along my investment journey since May 2020 for my future records and reflection usage.




是梦,也是现实